Some claim that a global recession has begun following a lot of the recent economic data. Others might argue that major problems only exist overseas, and signs of any recession is not present in the United States. Regardless of who is right, we expect a recession won’t be confirmed until twelve months or longer after the fact. This is similar... View Article
Every point in a stock market cycle brings its own emotional challenges for long-term investors. When volatility spikes, as it did in 2018, investors need to muster their intestinal fortitude and avoid the temptation to flee to cash. In times of extended market doldrums, as we saw in 2015-16 when stocks mostly moved sideways, investors must avoid the temptation to... View Article
To be blunt, as part of their financial planning process, many more people should establish a longevity strategy. As we discussed in a recent blog Longevity Planning vs. The 4% Retirement Rule, there are many considerations when making these decisions. However, two primary characteristics determine which pre-retirees and retirees will benefit most: INITIAL FINANCIAL CONDITION: Retirees with “modest-sized” nest eggs relative... View Article
Last month, in our blog The 60/40 Investment Debate, we discussed a few key considerations when it comes to longevity risk. As our focus continues in a pursuit to solve this very important issue, we realize longevity planning is often confused with traditional planning for one’s future retirement. For most, today’s retirement planning only focuses on planning “to” retirement rather... View Article
After a turbulent end to 2018 sent stock indices around the globe into bear market territory, equities staged a big recovery in the first quarter of 2019. For the quarter, the S&P 500 index gained 13.65% and was within a few percentage points of its record high. The Russell 2000 small stock index gained even more, rising 14.58%. Large cap... View Article
For decades, many individual and institutional investors have used a 60/40 asset allocation as common strategy for investing in stocks and bonds. This rule of thumb came from the work of two Nobel Prize winning economists, Harry Markowitz (1952) and Bill Sharpe (1964), and their contributions to modern portfolio theory continue to drive today’s innovation in finance. Since the dot.com... View Article
Investment fads are nothing new. When selecting strategies for their portfolios, investors are often tempted to seek out the latest and greatest investment opportunities. Over the years, these approaches have sought to capitalize on developments such as the perceived relative strength of particular geographic regions, technological changes in the economy, or the popularity of different natural resources. But long-term investors should... View Article
What did Fourth Quarter 2018 tell us about the future? Not much more than the rest of 2018 did. But in case you missed it, stocks around the globe experienced a significant decline during the quarter, a trend that began in October and accelerated rapidly in December. The downturn was widely attributed to the prospect of continued higher interest rates,... View Article
Once again, the media and talking heads are back at it mourning over the recent “crash” in the stock market and how diversification doesn’t work. Many social outlets such as Twitter, LinkedIn, and Facebook are filled with many of our coworkers, friends and family predicting the next market downturn is just around the corner. They may be very right or... View Article
The end of the year presents a unique opportunity to look at your overall situation and take advantage of some personal financial planning. With factors like tax reform, life changes or just working towards your goals, now is an especially important time to review things. Taking what we now know about the new tax law and weaving together all of... View Article