What Happens After All-Time Market Highs

Many investors may think a market high is a signal stocks are overvalued. However, they may be surprised to find that the average returns one, three, and five years after a new month-end market high are similar to those after months that ended at any level.

• In looking at all monthly closing levels between 1926 and 2024 for the S&P 500 Index, 31% of them were new highs.
• After those highs, the annualized returns ranged from almost 14% one year later to more than 10% over the next five years, which were close to average returns over any period of the same length.

Stocks are priced to deliver a positive expected return for investors, so reaching record highs regularly is the outcome one would expect.

As always, we are here to help.

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Historical performance results for investment indices, benchmarks, and/or categories have been provided for general informational/comparison purposes only, and generally do not reflect the deduction of transaction and/or custodial charges, the deduction of an investment management fee, nor the impact of taxes, the incurrence of which would have the effect of decreasing historical performance results. It should not be assumed that your account holdings correspond directly to any comparative indices or categories. Need to add more disclosures.

About CAM Investor Solutions

CAM Investor Solutions, a fee-only independent Registered Investment Advisor, has offices located in Colorado, Florida, and Texas. As a growing wealth management firm, we focus on the needs of our clients to improve their quality of life. Our firm’s commitment to innovation through rigorous academic research enhances how we serve a multi-generational audience.

CAM’s Specialties Include:

• Managing concentrated wealth
• Planning for stock and option compensation / company IPOs 
• Advanced tax managed investment strategies
• Custom retirement income strategies
• Cash management

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CAM Disclosure

SOURCE: S&P Global and Dimensional Fund Advisors

M & A Consulting Group, LLC, doing business as CAM Investor Solutions is an SEC registered investment adviser. As a fee-only firm, we do not receive commissions nor sell any insurance products. We provide financial planning and investment information that we believe to be useful and accurate. However, there cannot be any guarantees. 

This blog has been provided solely for informational purposes and does not represent investment advice. Nor does it provide an opinion regarding fairness of any transaction. It does not constitute an offer, solicitation or a recommendation to buy or sell any particular security or instrument or to adopt any investment strategy.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. Tax planning and investment illustrations are provided for educational purposes and should not be considered tax advice or recommendations. Investors should seek additional advice from their financial advisor or tax professional.